At the Jan 12 AMS Council meeting, we took a poll of councilors to see how they would vote if the election were that day. As an experiment, we used a two-sided ballot: First Past the Post on one side and Condorcet results on the other. Results below.
First Past the Post Results
Winners are in bold.
President
Jeremy McElroy, 18; Michael Moll 3; Omar Shaban 2; Jeremichael Molleroy 1
VP Administration
Mike Silley 17; Kathy Yan Li 3; Gordon Katic 2
VP Academic & University Affairs
Justin Yang 20; Matt Parson 2; Jennifer Wang 1
VP External
Mitch Wright 11; Katherine Tyson 10; Rory Breasail 2
VP Finance
Elin Tayyar 20; Arash Ehteshami 5
Board of Governors
Sean Heisler 18; Ben Cappellacci 13; Sumedha Sharma 11; Sassan Sangsari 3; AJ Hajir Hajian 1
Senate
Justin Yang 19; Spencer Rasmussen 17; Thomas Brennan 14; AJ Hajir Hajian 12; Ryan Bredin 11; Matthew Campbell 8; Eric DiStefano 7; Imran Habib 4
Condorcet Results
President
| Jeremy | Michael | Jeremichael | Omar | |
| Jeremy beats | x | 18 | 22 | 20 |
| Michael beats | 4 | x | 14 | 12 |
| Jeremichael beats | 1 | 7 | x | 11 |
| Omar beats | 3 | 8 | 9 | x |
Winner: Jeremy > Jeremichael > Michael > Omar
VP Admin
| Gordon | Mike | Kath¥ | |
| Gordon beats | x | 4 | 8 |
| Mike beats | 16 | x | 18 |
| Kath¥ beats | 10 | 2 | x |
Winner: Mike > Kath¥ > Gordon
VP Academic & University Affairs
| Matt | Jennifer | Justin | |
| Matt beats | x | 15 | 3 |
| Jennifer beats | 4 | x | 2 |
| Justin beats | 16 | 18 | x |
Winner: Justin > Matt > Jennifer
VP External
| Rory | Katherine | Mitch | |
| Rory beats | x | 9 | 4 |
| Katherine beats | 12 | x | 12 |
| Mitch beats | 16 | 10 | x |
Winner: Katherine > Mitch > Rory
The VP External race, by far the closest, actually yields different results depending on whether FPTP or condorcet is used. Admittedly, the sample size is small, but still, proof of principle win. In close races, condorcet isn’t just a gimmick.
Neal, this is so nerdy.
What’s funny here is that either:
1. There’s strategy at play in the FPP ballot.
or
2. People aren’t voting consistently between the ballots, based on their own preferences.
Those are the only two explanations for why Mitch gets the most ‘firsts’ in the FPP ballot, yet less in the Condorcet one. Rory also becomes a significant threat in the Condorcet ballot, almost edging out Katie, while in the FPP ballot, he’s a Nader.